Bucking Trend? Staffing Job Numbers
Improve, BLS Says
In what may be a long-awaited
reversal of months of slow erosion in
staffing industry employment, data
released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics showed marked
improvement in several numbers for
temporary help services: employment
increased in October, and estimates for
previous months were revised up.
Staffing industry employment
increased by more than 20,000 jobs from
September to October, seasonally
adjusted, according to BLS. That was the
biggest month-to-month increase—by a
wide margin—since December 2005.
Moreover, BLS revised its August and
September estimates upward. The agency
routinely revises its preliminary
estimates, but this was the first time
all year that the revisions increased
the job count in the staffing industry.
Of the previous 19 months, 15 had been
revised down. BLS still estimates
temporary help employment fell by some
19,000 jobs in September, but the
revised loss was less than originally
estimated, and October job growth more
than offset September's decline. The net
growth with the two months combined,
plus a slight increase in temporary help
jobs in August, along with the upward
revisions of recent months, suggest
staffing's sluggishness may be coming to
an end.
Staffing employment has slowly eroded
over the last two years, according to
BLS. October's seasonally adjusted job
count for temporary help services was
about 79,000—or 3%—lower than the
industry's most recent peak in December
2005, and 1.6% less than October of last
year. The industry has never experienced
so long a period of sluggishness.
Previous declines have featured
precipitous drops immediately preceding
a recession. The current pattern looks
nothing like a recession.
Historically, staffing industry
employment tends to peak in October.
Actual employment in temporary help
services (not seasonally adjusted), as
reported by BLS last week, reached its
highest level since October of last
year, but it was still 1.9% lower than
last October. The ASA Staffing Index,
which is not seasonally adjusted,
reached a new high of 109 in October.
As for total nonfarm employment, BLS
reported an increase of 166,000 jobs
last month. That was more than double
the 80,000 consensus estimate of
economists, according to the Wall
Street Journal, and the biggest
increase in five months. "Job gains
occurred in professional and business
services, health care, and leisure and
hospitality," BLS reported. BLS also
reported that the unemployment rate
remained unchanged at 4.7% last month.
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Article Written by, Steve
Berchem, American Staffing
Association November 2007, used
by permission |